Why Event-Outcome Markets Turn on Volume and Liquidity (and How to Trade Them Smarter)
Whoa! Okay—so here’s the thing. I used to treat prediction markets like little arcades: fun, noisy, sometimes lucrative. But over the past few years, as I’ve watched volume spike and then crater on different markets, something felt off about how people were sizing trades. My instinct said: traders underestimate liquidity risks in event-outcome markets. Seriously? Yep. This piece walks through…
